Jesús Gonzalo

Full Professor
Time Series Econometrics (Persistence, non-linearities and dynamic uncertainty) and Quantitative Climate Change
+34 91 624 9853 Office: 15.1.15
Jesus.gonzalo@uc3m.es
Personal website

Bio

Ph.D. in Economics, U. California, San Diego, 1991 (with Profs. Clive Granger and Rob Engle).  A.Professor at Boston University from 1991-1996. Associate Professor at UC3M  from 1996-2003 and Full Professor since 2003. More than 8000 citations  in Google Scholar and in the top 3 and 5% of the world in many publication REPEC impact factors. Two papers in the top 1% Most Cited Papers in Economics. Fellow of the Journal of Econometrics and of the International Association of Applied Econometrics. Recipient of the Julián Marias Research Prize 2025, awarded by Comunidad de Madrid in recognition of his distinguished scientific career in the Social Sciences.

Main Publications

Gadea, L. and Gonzalo, J., "Climate Change Heterogeneity: A New Quantitative Approach", PLOS ONE, 2025.

Alloza, M., Gonzalo, J. and Sanz, C., "Dynamic Effects of Persistent Shocks", Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2025.

Cheng, L., Dolado, J., and Gonzalo, J., "Quantile Factor Models". Econometrica, 2021.

Gadea, L., and Gonzalo, J., “Trends in Distributional Characteristics; Existence of Global Warming”, Journal of Econometrics 2020.

Gonzalo, J. , and Pitarakis, J., “Inferring the Predictability Induced by a Persistent Regressor in a Predictive Threshold Model". Journal of Business and Economic Statistics  2017

Berenguer-Rico, V., and Gonzalo, J., "Summability of Stochastic Processes (A Generalization of Integration and Co-integration valid for Non-linear Processes)", Journal of Econometrics, 178  2014

Figuerola-Ferreti, I., and Gonzalo, J., "Modelling and Measuring Price Discovery in Commodity Markets", Journal of Econometrics, 2010

Dolado, J., Gonzalo, .J., and Mayoral, L., "A Fractional Dickey-Fuller Test", Econometrica  2002

Gonzálo, J., and Granger, C., "Estimation of Common Long Memory Components in Cointegrated Systems", Journal of Business & Economic Statistics , 1995

Recent Research

Gadea, L., and  Gonzalo, J., "Regional Heterogeneity and Warning Dominance in the United States", PLOS CLIMATE, (2026).
Gadea, L., Gonzalo, J., and A.Ramos, "Trends in Temperature Data. Micro-foundations of Their Nature", Economic Letters (2024)
Gonzalo, J., and Pitarakis, J-Y, "Out of Sample Predictability in Predictive Regressions", International Journal of Forecasting (2024)
Chen, l., Dolado, J, and Gonzalo, J., "Heterogeneous Predictive Association of CO2 with Global Warming", Economica (2023)
Gadea, L., and Gonzalo, J., “Long-Term Climate Forecasts: A Heterogenous Future".
Gadea, L., and Gonzalo, J., " Warming Dominance in the Planet".
Gadea, L., Gonzalo, J., and Ramos, A., "Macroeconomic Effects of Temperature Distributional Shocks" (2026).
 

Teaching

Undergraduate level: Econometric Tecniques.

Master level: Econometrics III (Economic Analysis); Econometrics I (Development Economics) and Econometrics I (Finance).

< BACK